Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.334936 1.608273 1.944092 2.394257 2.993309 3.780195 4.922160
2025-01-05 0.959042 1.274225 1.718511 2.418378 3.550776 5.430511 9.098281
2025-01-12 0.739321 1.045061 1.516525 2.347574 3.905210 7.043720 15.144389
2025-01-19 0.608094 0.899370 1.379718 2.304363 4.262761 8.962402 25.120901
2025-01-26 0.548658 0.847715 1.374601 2.484723 5.169489 13.087536 53.447227
2025-02-02 0.495994 0.793693 1.347305 2.606711 6.037438 18.423840 119.169552
2025-02-09 0.441882 0.725502 1.274546 2.599204 6.569808 23.673942 254.067225
2025-02-16 0.392421 0.656927 1.184931 2.518825 6.840372 28.562093 537.046968
2025-02-23 0.362144 0.619702 1.152194 2.571770 7.626022 38.728316 2003.777016
2025-03-02 0.340546 0.595834 1.142927 2.686111 8.778759 56.640293 26232.731573
2025-03-09 0.316091 0.562436 1.105072 2.704848 9.576660 76.859619 NaN
2025-03-16 0.288554 0.519016 1.035767 2.604135 9.737430 91.873636 NaN
2025-03-23 0.274291 0.502468 1.029848 2.713325 11.199477 146.190930 NaN
2025-03-30 0.257496 0.478384 1.001069 2.737577 12.265961 217.734942 NaN
2025-04-06 0.238178 0.446482 0.946895 2.653265 12.565610 281.184406 NaN
2025-04-13 0.222370 0.420763 0.904967 2.602263 13.092627 387.545523 NaN
2025-04-20 0.217500 0.419319 0.927854 2.814473 16.133003 991.776740 NaN
2025-04-27 0.210405 0.411806 0.932650 2.958501 19.035135 2797.512889 NaN
2025-05-04 0.199422 0.393851 0.904600 2.949621 20.438395 6359.262427 NaN
2025-05-11 0.187143 0.371616 0.860831 2.854683 20.725764 11742.633169 NaN
2025-05-18 0.180003 0.361233 0.850814 2.917200 23.294778 82005.928225 NaN
2025-05-25 0.175055 0.355735 0.854739 3.052451 27.530524 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.167920 0.344055 0.837666 3.074645 30.212548 NaN NaN